Cover Your Ass Is Back 4/16/18

I’m back.  Like fully back.  After taking a two and a half month break from the world of gambling I’m ready to get back on that whore of a horse.  I took it to the chin all fall and slid into the red for the first time in over a year.  But let’s fuckin’ go, let’s pin the ears back and make some money.  Six picks a night now no matter what.

NBA

Bucks vs Celtics – MKE +2.5 AND OVER 197

So game one saw this game go to the Celtics and it seemed as though Milwaukee had a ton of flaws that could be easily fixed.  First, Jabari Parker saw the floor for only fifteen

CPE_9825.JPGminutes as Tony Snell played over twice as many minutes and still was -11.  If Prunty is smart he will do his best to get Parker more minutes.  Also, remember that it was only Parker and Bledsoe’s first time having large roles on a playoff team.  These teams were very evenly matched and if this game could get close late, fouls and free throws should push that over.  I like Milwaukee straight up even on the moneyline at +125.  You could unload on this game but I’m gunna stick to Bucks +2.5 and the 197 over.

Blazers -6.5 vs Pelicans

Game one of this series was a fluke.  Straight up because Dame doesn’t EVER shoot 25% from the field.  New Orleans proved their weak bench couldn’t hold leads and it was up to Anthony Davis’ 35 and 14 paired with big nights from Holiday, Rondo AND Mirotic.  Not a chance this goes like last game.  Pressure is on for the Blazers not to fall 0-2 and go across the country on the road.  This one could be a blowout.  Portland -6.5

MLB

patcorbinDiamondbacks -135 Moneyline over Giants

It’s Corbin vs Cueto as the Backs host division rival San Fransisco.  There’s a huge stat that sticks out to me here.  The Backs have won eight of their past nine home games with Patty Corbin on the hill.  Johnny Cueto has struggled his past two starts in Arizona giving up six runs in eleven innings of work.

NHL

Capitals +120 over Blue Jackets

The Capitals have fucked me time and time again in the playoffs before but with overtime losses in games one and two they head to Columbus down big.  My reason for my pick is momentum.  Washington outshot Columbus last game 58-30.  That’s twice as many shots!  Keeping the puck in the attacking zone will keep the crowd out of it for the most part and should neutralize the attack for the Jackets.

Knights and Kings OVER 5 EVEN

knigthskings.jpgThis game has me intrigued.  In the past I’ve had tons of success hitting overs on elimination games with both teams having so much to gain/lose.  Expect pulled goalies and a hell of a lot of shots on net for both sides as Vegas tries finish this bitch in four.

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